TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 2:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amelie Van Impe and Abigail Rencheli in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Van Impe' if Amelie Van Impe advances against Abigail Rencheli. This market will resolve to 'Abigail Rencheli' if Abigail Rencheli advances against Amelie Van Impe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amelie Van Impe and Abigail Rencheli in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Van Impe' if Amelie Van Impe advances against Abigail Rencheli. This market will resolve to 'Abigail Rencheli' if Abigail Rencheli advances against Amelie Van Impe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood, driven by informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Van Impe vs Rencheli match, as reported by the governing tennis association. The specific winner of the match will determine which outcome settles as 'yes' and which settles as 'no'. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even strategic announcements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis highlighting a player's improved form, could also cause significant price movements. Public opinion and expert predictions, while not directly reflected in the market, can sometimes indirectly influence trading behavior.