TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yelyzaveta Kotliar and Arina Arifullina in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yelyzaveta Kotliar' if Yelyzaveta Kotliar advances against Arina Arifullina. This market will resolve to 'Arina Arifullina' if Arina Arifullina advances against Yelyzaveta Kotliar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yelyzaveta Kotliar and Arina Arifullina in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yelyzaveta Kotliar' if Yelyzaveta Kotliar advances against Arina Arifullina. This market will resolve to 'Arina Arifullina' if Arina Arifullina advances against Yelyzaveta Kotliar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may signal that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more or less efficient pricing. It’s important to compare these odds to those offered by sportsbooks to gauge where the market finds value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning the Lagos tennis match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe Yelyzaveta Kotliar will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase. This creates a constantly updating forecast based on the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yelyzaveta Kotliar versus Arina Arifullina tennis match in Lagos. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in women’s tennis, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements, as could any significant media coverage or analysis of the match.