TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Milana Ivantsiv and Ana Filipa Santos in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milana Ivantsiv' if Milana Ivantsiv advances against Ana Filipa Santos. This market will resolve to 'Ana Filipa Santos' if Ana Filipa Santos advances against Milana Ivantsiv. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Milana Ivantsiv and Ana Filipa Santos in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milana Ivantsiv' if Milana Ivantsiv advances against Ana Filipa Santos. This market will resolve to 'Ana Filipa Santos' if Ana Filipa Santos advances against Milana Ivantsiv. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each marketplace. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it may indicate that the crowd perceives information differently or believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a growing expectation of its likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Milana Ivantsiv vs Ana Filipa Santos match, as reported by the governing tennis organization. Traders will be able to view the final result and the corresponding payout for their shares on Polymarket following the official announcement. The platform will then distribute funds to winning traders based on their holdings.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.