TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarina Kujovic and Carlotta Moccia in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarina Kujovic' if Katarina Kujovic advances against Carlotta Moccia. This market will resolve to 'Carlotta Moccia' if Carlotta Moccia advances against Katarina Kujovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarina Kujovic and Carlotta Moccia in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarina Kujovic' if Katarina Kujovic advances against Carlotta Moccia. This market will resolve to 'Carlotta Moccia' if Carlotta Moccia advances against Katarina Kujovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many independent traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different incentives and risk profiles, leading to variations in how they assess probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perceptions about the likelihood of each player winning the match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Lagos match between Katarina Kujovic and Carlotta Moccia. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The market will then settle, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when resolution is complete.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. For example, reports of a minor injury to one of the players, or a strong performance in a preceding match, could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament venue could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their informed opinions on the likely outcome of the Kujovic-Moccia match.