TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Agra Amorim and Alba Rey Garcia in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Agra Amorim' if Gabriela Agra Amorim advances against Alba Rey Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Alba Rey Garcia' if Alba Rey Garcia advances against Gabriela Agra Amorim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Agra Amorim and Alba Rey Garcia in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Agra Amorim' if Gabriela Agra Amorim advances against Alba Rey Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Alba Rey Garcia' if Alba Rey Garcia advances against Gabriela Agra Amorim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd thinks sportsbooks might be mispricing the probability of a particular result in the Lagos tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the Lagos tennis match, based on the collective actions of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gabriela Agra Amorim versus Alba Rey Garcia tennis match in Lagos. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market is settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market related to the Lagos tennis match.