TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Baotong Xu and Tian Jialin in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Baotong Xu' if Baotong Xu advances against Tian Jialin. This market will resolve to 'Tian Jialin' if Tian Jialin advances against Baotong Xu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Baotong Xu and Tian Jialin in the W35 Lagos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Baotong Xu' if Baotong Xu advances against Tian Jialin. This market will resolve to 'Tian Jialin' if Tian Jialin advances against Baotong Xu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may suggest that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has access to more or better information. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Lagos match between Baotong Xu and Tian Jialin. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor updates as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location could also cause movement. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps reflected in polls or expert analysis, could lead to changes in trading activity. The closer we get to Oct 15, 2026, the more sensitive this market will likely be to new information and developments surrounding the Xu vs Jialin match.