TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiana Tian Deng and Sijia Wei in the W35 Kunshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Sijia Wei. This market will resolve to 'Sijia Wei' if Sijia Wei advances against Tiana Tian Deng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiana Tian Deng and Sijia Wei in the W35 Kunshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Sijia Wei. This market will resolve to 'Sijia Wei' if Sijia Wei advances against Tiana Tian Deng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the players' true probabilities of winning. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion about the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. The price of a share representing a particular outcome reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people believe Tiana Tian Deng will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice-versa for Sijia Wei. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective predictions of traders.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tiana Tian Deng versus Sijia Wei tennis match in Kunshan. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine which outcome resolves positively. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities of each player winning. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause significant movement. Even general tennis news or analysis related to the players’ recent performance could impact trading activity and, consequently, the prices within this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in market sentiment.