TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between JiaYi Wang and Mariia Makarova in the W35 Kunshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'JiaYi Wang' if JiaYi Wang advances against Mariia Makarova. This market will resolve to 'Mariia Makarova' if Mariia Makarova advances against JiaYi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between JiaYi Wang and Mariia Makarova in the W35 Kunshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'JiaYi Wang' if JiaYi Wang advances against Mariia Makarova. This market will resolve to 'Mariia Makarova' if Mariia Makarova advances against JiaYi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how collective intelligence differs from professional oddsmakers’ assessments. Often, prediction markets can offer different probabilities, especially when factoring in information not immediately reflected in traditional betting lines. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. Observing these differences can be insightful for both seasoned bettors and those new to predictive markets, potentially identifying value in either venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a growing expectation of that result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd participating on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kunshan match between JiaYi Wang and Mariia Makarova, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match.
Several signals could influence this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in player form could cause the odds to fluctuate. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the players and their recent performances could contribute to shifts in the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.