TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Zelinskaya and Chengyiyi Yuan in the W35 Kunshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Zelinskaya' if Daria Zelinskaya advances against Chengyiyi Yuan. This market will resolve to 'Chengyiyi Yuan' if Chengyiyi Yuan advances against Daria Zelinskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Zelinskaya and Chengyiyi Yuan in the W35 Kunshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Zelinskaya' if Daria Zelinskaya advances against Chengyiyi Yuan. This market will resolve to 'Chengyiyi Yuan' if Chengyiyi Yuan advances against Daria Zelinskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. Analysts often compare prediction market probabilities to those implied by sportsbook odds to gauge public perception and identify potential value, but these represent independent assessments of the event’s likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates available information, offering a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kunshan match between Daria Zelinskaya and Chengyiyi Yuan. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, causing the odds to adjust accordingly. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements.