TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chihiro Muramatsu and Ru Xi Wu in the W35 Kunshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Ru Xi Wu. This market will resolve to 'Ru Xi Wu' if Ru Xi Wu advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chihiro Muramatsu and Ru Xi Wu in the W35 Kunshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chihiro Muramatsu' if Chihiro Muramatsu advances against Ru Xi Wu. This market will resolve to 'Ru Xi Wu' if Ru Xi Wu advances against Chihiro Muramatsu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s design encourages traders to converge on a probability that accurately reflects available information and their individual assessments of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kunshan match between Chihiro Muramatsu and Ru Xi Wu. The platform will rely on established and trustworthy sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a fair and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event's progress and potential impact on this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimes could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or shifts in expert analysis, could also cause the market to react. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and online forums, might also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.