TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tamara Sramkova and Irene Vigara Ramos in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tamara Sramkova' if Tamara Sramkova advances against Irene Vigara Ramos. This market will resolve to 'Irene Vigara Ramos' if Irene Vigara Ramos advances against Tamara Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tamara Sramkova and Irene Vigara Ramos in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tamara Sramkova' if Tamara Sramkova advances against Irene Vigara Ramos. This market will resolve to 'Irene Vigara Ramos' if Irene Vigara Ramos advances against Tamara Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective view. The market isn’t influenced by external factors like bookmaker margins; instead, it’s purely driven by supply and demand among traders expressing their predictions. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sramkova vs. Ramos match as reported by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions and affect trading volume. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Sramkova vs. Ramos match has the potential to move this market.