TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Summer Yardley and Natalia Fehr in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Summer Yardley' if Summer Yardley advances against Natalia Fehr. This market will resolve to 'Natalia Fehr' if Natalia Fehr advances against Summer Yardley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Summer Yardley and Natalia Fehr in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Summer Yardley' if Summer Yardley advances against Natalia Fehr. This market will resolve to 'Natalia Fehr' if Natalia Fehr advances against Summer Yardley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in Summer Yardley, for example, the price of those shares will increase, reflecting growing confidence in her winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each player’s success in the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Summer Yardley and Natalia Fehr, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the market’s settlement shortly after the match concludes.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions in Heraklion could also impact the perceived chances of each player. Furthermore, any significant changes in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Even seemingly minor updates regarding player preparation or strategy could move this market as traders react to new information.