TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Styliani Marinaki and Polina Maneshina in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Styliani Marinaki' if Styliani Marinaki advances against Polina Maneshina. This market will resolve to 'Polina Maneshina' if Polina Maneshina advances against Styliani Marinaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Styliani Marinaki and Polina Maneshina in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Styliani Marinaki' if Styliani Marinaki advances against Polina Maneshina. This market will resolve to 'Polina Maneshina' if Polina Maneshina advances against Styliani Marinaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each player winning. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of traders participating on Polymarket, offering a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Styliani Marinaki and Polina Maneshina, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match performances, could significantly shift the odds. Changes in weather conditions at the Heraklion tournament could also impact expectations, particularly if one player is more affected by certain conditions than the other. Unexpected announcements related to player strategies or coaching changes might also move the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information. Overall match momentum and early set results will also affect trading.