TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Ogescu and Maria Herazo in the W35 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Ogescu' if Simona Ogescu advances against Maria Herazo. This market will resolve to 'Maria Herazo' if Maria Herazo advances against Simona Ogescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Ogescu and Maria Herazo in the W35 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Ogescu' if Simona Ogescu advances against Maria Herazo. This market will resolve to 'Maria Herazo' if Maria Herazo advances against Simona Ogescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see differences, especially before a large amount of betting activity occurs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares, meaning that trader sentiment drives the odds for the Ogescu vs Herazo match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Heraklion match between Simona Ogescu and Maria Herazo. The platform will identify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal a change in expectations. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, influencing how traders assess the probability of each player winning the Ogescu vs Herazo match.