TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between shahar manhard and Juliette Mazzoni in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'shahar manhard' if shahar manhard advances against Juliette Mazzoni. This market will resolve to 'Juliette Mazzoni' if Juliette Mazzoni advances against shahar manhard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between shahar manhard and Juliette Mazzoni in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'shahar manhard' if shahar manhard advances against Juliette Mazzoni. This market will resolve to 'Juliette Mazzoni' if Juliette Mazzoni advances against shahar manhard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s aggregate expectation for the result of the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Shahar Manhard and Juliette Mazzoni, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to determine the winning share and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or even updated player rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring either Shahar Manhard or Juliette Mazzoni might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to the changing dynamics of the market.