TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi La Cagnina and Natalia Kowalczyk in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi La Cagnina' if Noemi La Cagnina advances against Natalia Kowalczyk. This market will resolve to 'Natalia Kowalczyk' if Natalia Kowalczyk advances against Noemi La Cagnina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi La Cagnina and Natalia Kowalczyk in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi La Cagnina' if Noemi La Cagnina advances against Natalia Kowalczyk. This market will resolve to 'Natalia Kowalczyk' if Natalia Kowalczyk advances against Noemi La Cagnina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective judgment of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments, public sentiment, or the influence of late-breaking news. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when a large amount of volume is traded, as is the case with this market.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Heraklion match between Noemi La Cagnina and Natalia Kowalczyk, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could shift the odds, reflecting new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market may evolve leading up to Oct 20, 2026.