TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noa Krznaric Uygungul and Greta Fenyves in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noa Krznaric Uygungul' if Noa Krznaric Uygungul advances against Greta Fenyves. This market will resolve to 'Greta Fenyves' if Greta Fenyves advances against Noa Krznaric Uygungul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noa Krznaric Uygungul and Greta Fenyves in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noa Krznaric Uygungul' if Noa Krznaric Uygungul advances against Greta Fenyves. This market will resolve to 'Greta Fenyves' if Greta Fenyves advances against Noa Krznaric Uygungul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This allows for a fluid adjustment of probabilities as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Heraklion match between Noa Krznaric Uygungul and Greta Fenyves. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome will be determined and verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament dynamics, might also shift market sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway traders’ opinions. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either player’s chances of winning will likely cause movement in this market.