TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Sara Ribnikar and Sophie Ehrenbergerova in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Sara Ribnikar' if Mia Sara Ribnikar advances against Sophie Ehrenbergerova. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Ehrenbergerova' if Sophie Ehrenbergerova advances against Mia Sara Ribnikar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Sara Ribnikar and Sophie Ehrenbergerova in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Sara Ribnikar' if Mia Sara Ribnikar advances against Sophie Ehrenbergerova. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Ehrenbergerova' if Sophie Ehrenbergerova advances against Mia Sara Ribnikar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Mia Sara Ribnikar will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice versa for Sophie Ehrenbergerova. This creates a real-time probability assessment based on the aggregated decisions of market participants, reflecting their collective forecast for the match's result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Heraklion match between Mia Sara Ribnikar and Sophie Ehrenbergerova, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or media coverage, could lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Ribnikar vs Ehrenbergerova match is crucial for understanding potential market movements.