TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuela De Lorenzo and Noa Krznaric Uygungul in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuela De Lorenzo' if Manuela De Lorenzo advances against Noa Krznaric Uygungul. This market will resolve to 'Noa Krznaric Uygungul' if Noa Krznaric Uygungul advances against Manuela De Lorenzo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuela De Lorenzo and Noa Krznaric Uygungul in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuela De Lorenzo' if Manuela De Lorenzo advances against Noa Krznaric Uygungul. This market will resolve to 'Noa Krznaric Uygungul' if Noa Krznaric Uygungul advances against Manuela De Lorenzo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the De Lorenzo vs Krznaric match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the De Lorenzo vs Krznaric match as reported by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either De Lorenzo or Krznaric, or changes in playing surface conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential traders on Polymarket could cause short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a change in perceived probability.