TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Helena Muzinic and Swasthika Arunkumar in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Helena Muzinic' if Helena Muzinic advances against Swasthika Arunkumar. This market will resolve to 'Swasthika Arunkumar' if Swasthika Arunkumar advances against Helena Muzinic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Helena Muzinic and Swasthika Arunkumar in the W35 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Helena Muzinic' if Helena Muzinic advances against Swasthika Arunkumar. This market will resolve to 'Swasthika Arunkumar' if Swasthika Arunkumar advances against Helena Muzinic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Muzinic vs Arunkumar match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Muzinic vs Arunkumar match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result, as reported by official tournament sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching changes could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public opinion, can influence traders' beliefs about the Muzinic vs Arunkumar match. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential market movements and inform trading decisions.