TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Stella Jurina in the W35 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Stella Jurina. This market will resolve to 'Stella Jurina' if Stella Jurina advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Stella Jurina in the W35 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Stella Jurina. This market will resolve to 'Stella Jurina' if Stella Jurina advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by actual money being wagered. It is common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. These differences can arise from varying information sources, risk assessments, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Heraklion tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Heraklion tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alice Tubello versus Stella Jurina match in Heraklion, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially declared and the market is settled. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 23, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception of the Heraklion tennis match.