TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Alisa Oktiabreva in the W35 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Alisa Oktiabreva. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Oktiabreva' if Alisa Oktiabreva advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Alisa Oktiabreva in the W35 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Alisa Oktiabreva. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Oktiabreva' if Alisa Oktiabreva advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can drive the odds on Polymarket in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on either side. Examining these differences can be insightful.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly adjusting based on the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current volume suggests significant interest in this match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Alice Tubello and Alisa Oktiabreva. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and following the tournament’s progress will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.