TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between OTOHA FUKUMOTO and Haruka Nishimura in the W35 Hamamatsu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'OTOHA FUKUMOTO' if OTOHA FUKUMOTO advances against Haruka Nishimura. This market will resolve to 'Haruka Nishimura' if Haruka Nishimura advances against OTOHA FUKUMOTO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between OTOHA FUKUMOTO and Haruka Nishimura in the W35 Hamamatsu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'OTOHA FUKUMOTO' if OTOHA FUKUMOTO advances against Haruka Nishimura. This market will resolve to 'Haruka Nishimura' if Haruka Nishimura advances against OTOHA FUKUMOTO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting growing confidence in their chances of winning. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hamamatsu tennis match between OTOHA FUKUMOTO and Haruka Nishimura. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered based on widely accepted and publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movements in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions at the Hamamatsu venue could all impact trader sentiment. Additionally, any updates on the players' recent performance or head-to-head records might lead to shifts in probabilities. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the tournament itself could also contribute to volatility in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.