TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ai Maruyama and SUZU NAKAHARA in the W35 Hamamatsu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against SUZU NAKAHARA. This market will resolve to 'SUZU NAKAHARA' if SUZU NAKAHARA advances against Ai Maruyama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ai Maruyama and SUZU NAKAHARA in the W35 Hamamatsu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against SUZU NAKAHARA. This market will resolve to 'SUZU NAKAHARA' if SUZU NAKAHARA advances against Ai Maruyama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maruyama vs. Nakahara match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Hamamatsu match between Ai Maruyama and SUZU NAKAHARA, as declared by the governing body of the competition. Any disputes or ambiguities regarding the official result will be addressed using publicly available information and established rules of the sport. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could all impact trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports commentators or experts could also shift perceptions of each player’s chances of winning. Additionally, significant trading volume from well-informed or influential traders could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Any unforeseen circumstances impacting the event's scheduling or fairness could also lead to substantial market movement.