TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Wainwright and Mila Angrave in the W35 Birmingham, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Wainwright' if Mia Wainwright advances against Mila Angrave. This market will resolve to 'Mila Angrave' if Mila Angrave advances against Mia Wainwright. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Wainwright and Mila Angrave in the W35 Birmingham, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Wainwright' if Mia Wainwright advances against Mila Angrave. This market will resolve to 'Mila Angrave' if Mila Angrave advances against Mia Wainwright. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those on Polymarket, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of a particular outcome. It's worth noting that prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate predictions, as they benefit from a diverse range of informed participants and are incentivized to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective judgment of participants regarding the Wainwright vs Angrave match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Birmingham match between Mia Wainwright and Mila Angrave. The platform will rely on widely recognized and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Mia Wainwright or Mila Angrave, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders can create short-term volatility, impacting the overall market price.