TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manon Leonard and Jessika Ponchet in the W35 Birmingham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manon Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Jessika Ponchet. This market will resolve to 'Jessika Ponchet' if Jessika Ponchet advances against Manon Leonard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manon Leonard and Jessika Ponchet in the W35 Birmingham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manon Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Jessika Ponchet. This market will resolve to 'Jessika Ponchet' if Jessika Ponchet advances against Manon Leonard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies, compared to traditional betting outlets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the probability assigned to each player winning the Birmingham tennis match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular player will win, the higher the share price for that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds stay responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Birmingham tennis match between Manon Leonard and Jessika Ponchet. The player who wins the match, as determined by official tournament results, will be the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available information and official tournament documentation.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Birmingham tennis match might also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to cause movement in the market, as traders adjust their positions accordingly.