TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manon Leonard and Alicia Dudeney in the W35 Birmingham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manon Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Alicia Dudeney. This market will resolve to 'Alicia Dudeney' if Alicia Dudeney advances against Manon Leonard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manon Leonard and Alicia Dudeney in the W35 Birmingham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manon Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Alicia Dudeney. This market will resolve to 'Alicia Dudeney' if Alicia Dudeney advances against Manon Leonard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a growing expectation of its likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current volume is $540.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the Birmingham tennis match—which player wins—will be used to determine the winning share. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. The outcome will be determined by the official match results.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could cause the odds to shift. A strong performance by either Manon Leonard or Alicia Dudeney in a preceding match could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, expert analysis or changes in public sentiment, reflected in social media or sports news, could lead to adjustments in the market price. Unexpected weather conditions at the venue could also be a catalyst for movement in this market.