TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Annabel Wong and Lily Hutchings in the W35 Birmingham, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Annabel Wong' if Annabel Wong advances against Lily Hutchings. This market will resolve to 'Lily Hutchings' if Lily Hutchings advances against Annabel Wong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Annabel Wong and Lily Hutchings in the W35 Birmingham, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Annabel Wong' if Annabel Wong advances against Lily Hutchings. This market will resolve to 'Lily Hutchings' if Lily Hutchings advances against Annabel Wong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market reflects the collective predictions of a diverse group of traders. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially as an event approaches, because they aggregate information from many sources. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available here, and may have different margins built into their odds. Comparing them can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a total of 100. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives the price fluctuations. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the W35 Birmingham match between Annabel Wong and Lily Hutchings. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event draws near, as any delays or changes to the schedule could impact the resolution timeline. The final outcome will be clearly communicated on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Annabel Wong or Lily Hutchings could significantly shift predictions. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also impact the perceived likelihood of each player winning. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, although the market is primarily driven by trading activity on Polymarket. A major upset in a similar tournament could also cause traders to reassess their positions.