TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Ozerova and Emilija Lebedevaite in the W35 Birmingham, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Ozerova' if Anna Ozerova advances against Emilija Lebedevaite. This market will resolve to 'Emilija Lebedevaite' if Emilija Lebedevaite advances against Anna Ozerova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Ozerova and Emilija Lebedevaite in the W35 Birmingham, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Ozerova' if Anna Ozerova advances against Emilija Lebedevaite. This market will resolve to 'Emilija Lebedevaite' if Emilija Lebedevaite advances against Anna Ozerova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates individual predictions and allows traders to adjust probabilities based on new information or insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or simply the influence of public opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially during events with rapidly changing circumstances. Examining these differences can reveal valuable perspectives on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Birmingham tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. As more traders believe Anna Ozerova will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants, providing a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each player winning. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Birmingham tennis match between Anna Ozerova and Emilija Lebedevaite, as reported by a trusted source for tennis results. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of Anna Ozerova experiencing a minor injury during practice could lower the probability of her winning, causing the price of shares representing Emilija Lebedevaite to increase. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament venue could also play a role, as certain players may perform better in specific conditions. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also contribute to price fluctuations.