TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Charo Esquiva Banuls and Valentina Ivanov in the W35 Baza, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charo Esquiva Banuls' if Charo Esquiva Banuls advances against Valentina Ivanov. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Ivanov' if Valentina Ivanov advances against Charo Esquiva Banuls. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Charo Esquiva Banuls and Valentina Ivanov in the W35 Baza, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charo Esquiva Banuls' if Charo Esquiva Banuls advances against Valentina Ivanov. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Ivanov' if Valentina Ivanov advances against Charo Esquiva Banuls. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the odds closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of trading occurs, as information asymmetry exists.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charo Esquiva Banuls vs Valentina Ivanov match. Once the official result is available, Polymarket will verify the outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of resolution depends on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the athletes’ form or fitness levels could also cause significant price movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations. As the match date approaches, any updates from reliable sources will likely have a greater impact on the market price, reflecting the increasing certainty surrounding the event.