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$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nika Hurkacz and Hanna Chang in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nika Hurkacz' if Nika Hurkacz advances against Hanna Chang. This market will resolve to 'Hanna Chang' if Hanna Chang advances against Nika Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nika Hurkacz and Hanna Chang in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nika Hurkacz' if Nika Hurkacz advances against Hanna Chang. This market will resolve to 'Hanna Chang' if Hanna Chang advances against Nika Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information emerges – such as injury reports or weather conditions – and as the event nears, you may observe convergence between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds. However, discrepancies can persist due to varying levels of information access and differing motivations among bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, continuously adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurkacz vs Chang match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Nika Hurkacz or Hanna Chang, or changes in playing conditions (such as court surface or weather) could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader tournament upsets, could also impact the market. Major announcements related to the event itself, like changes to the schedule, could also lead to price movements.