TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaret Sohns and Lan Mi in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaret Sohns' if Margaret Sohns advances against Lan Mi. This market will resolve to 'Lan Mi' if Lan Mi advances against Margaret Sohns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaret Sohns and Lan Mi in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaret Sohns' if Margaret Sohns advances against Lan Mi. This market will resolve to 'Lan Mi' if Lan Mi advances against Margaret Sohns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Sohns vs Mi match and highlight where the market disagrees with traditional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sohns vs Mi match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sohns vs Mi match as reported by the governing body. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official channels for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential delays or clarifications.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also impact trading volume and price. Major upsets in related events or the release of updated player statistics are further catalysts that could move this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information regarding the Sohns vs Mi match.