TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mao Mushika and Sophie Suh in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mao Mushika' if Mao Mushika advances against Sophie Suh. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Suh' if Sophie Suh advances against Mao Mushika. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mao Mushika and Sophie Suh in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mao Mushika' if Mao Mushika advances against Sophie Suh. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Suh' if Sophie Suh advances against Mao Mushika. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the W35 Bakersfield matchup.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of the traders participating in the W35 Bakersfield matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Bakersfield matchup as reported by the governing body. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential changes or updates.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to either competitor could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role. Major shifts in trading volume, particularly concentrated buying or selling of shares in one outcome, would also be a strong indicator of changing market expectations for the W35 Bakersfield matchup.