TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lan Mi and Jenna DeFalco in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lan Mi' if Lan Mi advances against Jenna DeFalco. This market will resolve to 'Jenna DeFalco' if Jenna DeFalco advances against Lan Mi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lan Mi and Jenna DeFalco in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lan Mi' if Lan Mi advances against Jenna DeFalco. This market will resolve to 'Jenna DeFalco' if Jenna DeFalco advances against Lan Mi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Lan Mi vs Jenna DeFalco match’s potential results. The market’s efficiency is driven by traders seeking to profit from perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lan Mi vs Jenna DeFalco match as determined by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match's venue or rules could also have an impact. Public opinion, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, especially if it suggests a significant shift in perceived likelihood of either fighter winning. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Lan Mi or Jenna DeFalco winning is likely to move this market.