TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Mattioli and Mao Mushika in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Mattioli' if Francesca Mattioli advances against Mao Mushika. This market will resolve to 'Mao Mushika' if Mao Mushika advances against Francesca Mattioli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Mattioli and Mao Mushika in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Mattioli' if Francesca Mattioli advances against Mao Mushika. This market will resolve to 'Mao Mushika' if Mao Mushika advances against Francesca Mattioli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to dynamic price adjustments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Mattioli vs Mushika match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mattioli vs Mushika match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more confident the market is in that outcome. Traders are constantly updating their assessments, and the market price reflects the aggregated view of all participants. This dynamic pricing provides a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Bakersfield, CA tennis match between Francesca Mattioli and Mao Mushika. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact expectations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps fueled by social media or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential movements in this market related to the Mattioli vs Mushika match.