TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Duru Soke and Berta Passola in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Duru Soke' if Duru Soke advances against Berta Passola. This market will resolve to 'Berta Passola' if Berta Passola advances against Duru Soke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Duru Soke and Berta Passola in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Duru Soke' if Duru Soke advances against Berta Passola. This market will resolve to 'Berta Passola' if Berta Passola advances against Duru Soke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to differences in probabilities assigned to various results. While sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns, this market focuses purely on the perceived likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or insider information influencing the market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market. It’s a dynamic process, constantly adjusting as new information emerges and opinions shift.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Duru Soke vs Berta Passola match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Duru Soke or Berta Passola, such as injuries or changes in training routines, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match scheduling or venue changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, public sentiment and expert analysis regarding the fighters’ chances could influence trader behavior and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential price movements.