TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Allegra Korpanec Davies and Lea Ma in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Allegra Korpanec Davies' if Allegra Korpanec Davies advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Allegra Korpanec Davies. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Allegra Korpanec Davies and Lea Ma in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Allegra Korpanec Davies' if Allegra Korpanec Davies advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Allegra Korpanec Davies. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in house edges and perceived public biases. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. While sportsbooks may initially have different probabilities assigned to outcomes, prediction markets can sometimes converge towards more accurate predictions as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before the event begins.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Korpanec Davies vs Ma match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market prior to Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either Allegra Korpanec Davies or Lea Ma could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match location or conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, leading to price adjustments. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also exert some influence, though the market ultimately reflects the willingness of traders to put capital at risk.