TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Addison Lanton and Shihomi Li Xuan Leong in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Addison Lanton' if Addison Lanton advances against Shihomi Li Xuan Leong. This market will resolve to 'Shihomi Li Xuan Leong' if Shihomi Li Xuan Leong advances against Addison Lanton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Addison Lanton and Shihomi Li Xuan Leong in the W35 Bakersfield, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Addison Lanton' if Addison Lanton advances against Shihomi Li Xuan Leong. This market will resolve to 'Shihomi Li Xuan Leong' if Shihomi Li Xuan Leong advances against Addison Lanton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs directly. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate. Analyzing the differences can provide valuable insights, but should not be the sole basis for decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe in a particular outcome, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Lanton vs Leong match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Bakersfield, CA match between Addison Lanton and Shihomi Li Xuan Leong. The platform will rely on publicly available and verifiable sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several signals could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as venue changes or weather forecasts, might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these factors can help traders understand the dynamics driving the market and potentially identify opportunities.