TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zi Ying Ruan and Alba Almenar Zabala in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zi Ying Ruan' if Zi Ying Ruan advances against Alba Almenar Zabala. This market will resolve to 'Alba Almenar Zabala' if Alba Almenar Zabala advances against Zi Ying Ruan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zi Ying Ruan and Alba Almenar Zabala in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zi Ying Ruan' if Zi Ying Ruan advances against Alba Almenar Zabala. This market will resolve to 'Alba Almenar Zabala' if Alba Almenar Zabala advances against Zi Ying Ruan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Villena tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Zi Ying Ruan and Alba Almenar Zabala as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations, and overall shifts in public opinion regarding the players’ chances of winning could also impact the market.