TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vega Aguilar Ferrandez and Leire De Ezcurra in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vega Aguilar Ferrandez' if Vega Aguilar Ferrandez advances against Leire De Ezcurra. This market will resolve to 'Leire De Ezcurra' if Leire De Ezcurra advances against Vega Aguilar Ferrandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vega Aguilar Ferrandez and Leire De Ezcurra in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vega Aguilar Ferrandez' if Vega Aguilar Ferrandez advances against Leire De Ezcurra. This market will resolve to 'Leire De Ezcurra' if Leire De Ezcurra advances against Vega Aguilar Ferrandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Villena tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Vega Aguilar Ferrandez and Leire De Ezcurra at the W15 Villena tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the W15 Villena tournament, or even a change in the surface being played on, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.