TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Losciale and Gabriela Paun in the W15 Villena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Losciale' if Valentina Losciale advances against Gabriela Paun. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Paun' if Gabriela Paun advances against Valentina Losciale. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Losciale and Gabriela Paun in the W15 Villena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Losciale' if Valentina Losciale advances against Gabriela Paun. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Paun' if Gabriela Paun advances against Valentina Losciale. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that different levels of confidence are being priced in. It’s important to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will win, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena tennis match between Valentina Losciale and Gabriela Paun, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market, and shares will be settled accordingly. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause the market to react. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Valentina Losciale or Gabriela Paun winning is likely to trigger trading and a corresponding change in the market price.