TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Montesinos Vilanova and Maryia Kolas in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Montesinos Vilanova' if Sofia Montesinos Vilanova advances against Maryia Kolas. This market will resolve to 'Maryia Kolas' if Maryia Kolas advances against Sofia Montesinos Vilanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Montesinos Vilanova and Maryia Kolas in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Montesinos Vilanova' if Sofia Montesinos Vilanova advances against Maryia Kolas. This market will resolve to 'Maryia Kolas' if Maryia Kolas advances against Sofia Montesinos Vilanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific player, the higher the price rises, indicating increasing confidence in their victory. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic process ensures the odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena tennis match between Sofia Montesinos Vilanova and Maryia Kolas. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the odds for this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, would likely cause shifts in the market. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over the other. Furthermore, significant betting activity on Polymarket itself can drive price movements, as traders react to new information or simply adjust their positions based on their own analysis of the match.