TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Llinares Domingo and Lucia Ros Parres in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Llinares Domingo' if Lucia Llinares Domingo advances against Lucia Ros Parres. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Ros Parres' if Lucia Ros Parres advances against Lucia Llinares Domingo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Llinares Domingo and Lucia Ros Parres in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Llinares Domingo' if Lucia Llinares Domingo advances against Lucia Ros Parres. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Ros Parres' if Lucia Ros Parres advances against Lucia Llinares Domingo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to reflect the true probabilities as assessed by traders. This can sometimes lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets potentially offering more favorable odds, particularly as more information becomes available and the market matures. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and significant differences can arise due to varying levels of expertise and information available to each group.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena tennis match between Lucia Llinares Domingo and Lucia Ros Parres, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury status, or changes in their coaching staff could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, as could any significant upsets in other matches leading up to the event. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in expectations, potentially causing the market to move rapidly.