TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juliana Giaccio and Nuria Sarganella Verdu in the W15 Villena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juliana Giaccio' if Juliana Giaccio advances against Nuria Sarganella Verdu. This market will resolve to 'Nuria Sarganella Verdu' if Nuria Sarganella Verdu advances against Juliana Giaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juliana Giaccio and Nuria Sarganella Verdu in the W15 Villena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juliana Giaccio' if Juliana Giaccio advances against Nuria Sarganella Verdu. This market will resolve to 'Nuria Sarganella Verdu' if Nuria Sarganella Verdu advances against Juliana Giaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced a player’s chances, they can express that belief by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to odds on Polymarket diverging from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It's important to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for a specific player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders acting on their own analysis and information. This creates a dynamic and evolving assessment of the likely outcome of the Villena tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena tennis match between Juliana Giaccio and Nuria Sarganella Verdu, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The market will close and settle shortly after the match concludes and the official result is available.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also impact the market. Additionally, large trades by influential traders on Polymarket can cause significant price movements, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals and events can provide insights into potential shifts in the market’s outlook.