TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Isabel Pascual Montalvo and Maria Andrienko in the W15 Villena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isabel Pascual Montalvo' if Isabel Pascual Montalvo advances against Maria Andrienko. This market will resolve to 'Maria Andrienko' if Maria Andrienko advances against Isabel Pascual Montalvo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Isabel Pascual Montalvo and Maria Andrienko in the W15 Villena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isabel Pascual Montalvo' if Isabel Pascual Montalvo advances against Maria Andrienko. This market will resolve to 'Maria Andrienko' if Maria Andrienko advances against Isabel Pascual Montalvo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely winner of the Villena tennis match or varying levels of information incorporated into each price. It’s a useful comparison for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Villena tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is reflected in the share price; a higher price suggests greater confidence in that outcome. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena tennis match between Isabel Pascual Montalvo and Maria Andrienko as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 28, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury status, or changes in their coaching staff could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over the other. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the odds to move.