TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Charo Esquiva Banuls and Esther Lopez Alcaraz in the W15 Villena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charo Esquiva Banuls' if Charo Esquiva Banuls advances against Esther Lopez Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Esther Lopez Alcaraz' if Esther Lopez Alcaraz advances against Charo Esquiva Banuls. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Charo Esquiva Banuls and Esther Lopez Alcaraz in the W15 Villena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charo Esquiva Banuls' if Charo Esquiva Banuls advances against Esther Lopez Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Esther Lopez Alcaraz' if Esther Lopez Alcaraz advances against Charo Esquiva Banuls. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of player performance and potential outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely winner. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the value lies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each player winning. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, responding to new information and changing opinions among traders. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena tennis match between Charo Esquiva Banuls and Esther Lopez Alcaraz. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, driven by social media or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 27, 2026.