TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adriana Monlleo Ramos and Sofia Kova in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adriana Monlleo Ramos' if Adriana Monlleo Ramos advances against Sofia Kova. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kova' if Sofia Kova advances against Adriana Monlleo Ramos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adriana Monlleo Ramos and Sofia Kova in the W15 Villena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adriana Monlleo Ramos' if Adriana Monlleo Ramos advances against Sofia Kova. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kova' if Sofia Kova advances against Adriana Monlleo Ramos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood, driven by informed participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of the Villena tennis match—determining which player won—will be used to settle the market. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match performances, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over the other. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also indirectly impact sentiment and trading activity in this market, as traders reassess probabilities based on the broader competitive landscape.