TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladlena Bokova and Venla Ahti in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladlena Bokova' if Vladlena Bokova advances against Venla Ahti. This market will resolve to 'Venla Ahti' if Venla Ahti advances against Vladlena Bokova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladlena Bokova and Venla Ahti in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladlena Bokova' if Vladlena Bokova advances against Venla Ahti. This market will resolve to 'Venla Ahti' if Venla Ahti advances against Vladlena Bokova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, we may see the prediction market odds diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there’s strong public interest and a lot of trading activity surrounding an event like the Bokova-Ahti tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, reflecting the collective prediction. Currently, the market is driven by the individual assessments of traders, and the price movements indicate the evolving expectations for the Bokova-Ahti tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bokova-Ahti tennis match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is valid. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Nov 4, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Vladlena Bokova or Venla Ahti could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns, will also move the market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential for price fluctuations in this market.