TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Iveta Dapkute and Louanne Djafari in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iveta Dapkute' if Iveta Dapkute advances against Louanne Djafari. This market will resolve to 'Louanne Djafari' if Louanne Djafari advances against Iveta Dapkute. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iveta Dapkute and Louanne Djafari in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iveta Dapkute' if Iveta Dapkute advances against Louanne Djafari. This market will resolve to 'Louanne Djafari' if Louanne Djafari advances against Iveta Dapkute. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Dapkute vs Djafari match, they can express that belief by trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the prediction market odds to diverge from those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Dapkute vs Djafari match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information from various sources, and the price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Taby match between Iveta Dapkute and Louanne Djafari as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Iveta Dapkute or Louanne Djafari could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in tennis analysis and commentary, might also play a role. Finally, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could trigger significant price movements, as others react to perceived new information about the Dapkute vs Djafari match.