TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Marinkovic and Maileen Nuudi in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Marinkovic' if Iva Marinkovic advances against Maileen Nuudi. This market will resolve to 'Maileen Nuudi' if Maileen Nuudi advances against Iva Marinkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Marinkovic and Maileen Nuudi in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Marinkovic' if Iva Marinkovic advances against Maileen Nuudi. This market will resolve to 'Maileen Nuudi' if Maileen Nuudi advances against Iva Marinkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket and sportsbook lines tend to converge as more information is factored in by both sides.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Iva Marinkovic vs Maileen Nuudi match. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where odds are set by a bookmaker.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iva Marinkovic vs Maileen Nuudi match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert predictions could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market perception, leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding the dynamic nature of this market.